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Can Rigetti Computing Weather the Stock Storm?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

Despite Rigetti Computing Inc.’s promising developments in quantum computing, including a new collaboration with a major tech firm, the market is overshadowed by concerns over revenue growth and competitiveness, leading to decreased investor confidence. On Friday, Rigetti Computing Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -7.05 percent.

Highlights of Recent Activity

  • Director Michael Clifton made noticeable market waves by offloading 125,000 shares of Rigetti at $6 per piece, raising $750K in the process.
  • Stock prices for Rigetti Computing experienced a seesaw movement, stumbling 6.1% before market opened, recoiling from a significant 10% leap earlier.
  • Citron Research threw skepticism toward Rigetti’s valuation, branding it ‘ridiculous’ amid concerns about equity sales at lower prices and continued dilution.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:32:01 EST: On Friday, January 03, 2025 Rigetti Computing Inc. stock [NASDAQ: RGTI] is trending down by -7.05%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Financial Metrics Unwrapped

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Embrace the journey, the ups and downs; each mistake is a lesson to improve your strategy.” In the world of trading, it’s important to understand that every experience, whether positive or negative, contributes to the broader picture of becoming a more seasoned trader. Acknowledging that mistakes are part of the trading process and treating them as opportunities for learning can help enhance one’s strategy and resilience in the market.

Rigetti’s financial path is nothing short of complex. From key ratios, it’s evident the company is clawing through the storm. With earnings marked by steep losses, their EBIT margin sits disturbingly at -489.4%. But not all is gloomy; Rigetti boasts a gross margin of 60.6%, hinting at potential profitability when on solid ground.

For a company whose backdrop shows an enterprise value perched at $3.78 billion, the path to stability seems daunting yet promising. Their price-to-sales ratio of 23.77 shows hope amidst turbulent waters. The enterprise value might well be Rigetti’s saving grace, whispering promises of a turnaround.

More Breaking News

Moving to the income statements, Rigetti posted revenues of $12 million. It’s a mere blip, perhaps, yet it exemplifies some semblance of progression. They hold a big payroll, with wages totaling $3.43M, a testament to their investment in human capital poised to lead their revolutionary quantum computing breakthroughs.

Overview of Recent Earnings

Diving into financial reporting, Rigetti’s key figures paint a vivid picture of calculated strides. Stretching through the third quarter of 2024, net income reflects a stark red, amounting to a loss of $14.83 million. Disheartening, yet chief among the priorities here is learning, adapting, transforming.

Investors eye these records with bated breath; after all, it is the ability to learn from financial ebbs and flows that defines eventual success. With total assets pegged at about $157 million, Rigetti carries plans of revitalizing its approach. Cash flow experienced a decline, but the tide may shift if strategic gears are oiled effectively.

Additionally, their capital expenditure focused heavily on innovation. Research and development snag $12.75 million, a clear indication that Rigetti is doubling down on technological advancements.

Contradictory Market Reactions

Market responses were animated yet puzzling. The frenzied turnover in director-level shares strikingly contradicted the undercurrent of optimism stemming from their earnings. But, was it a mere hiccup or a prognostic tremor for what’s to come?

Investors jittered by Citron’s critique might dread that Rigetti’s stock dilution means dwindling equity value. Yet, others perceive potential underpinned by their R&D commitment, ready to weather any storm on the horizon.

Looking Forward and Envisioning Potential

With all gears set in motion, Rigetti ambitiously plows through a complex landscape, daring to spark new flames in quantum computing. Their debt-to-equity ratio, perched at a comfortable 0.18, provides breathing space, a crucial facet as the company deeply invest in untapped realms.

While the stock price weathers heavy seas, Rigetti’s innovative framework promises a beacon for those onboard. How the market perceives their financial journey varies by sentiment, yet their mission resolutely steers towards future breakthroughs. Their narrative hints at the possibility of surprising the doubters, depending on strategic deployment.

Wrapping Up

Rigetti Computing still stands strong at the intersection of innovation and market unpredictability. Each plotted movement, conscious effort, and financial intricacy signifies resilience amid the rebuff from skeptics. The pivotal question remains: can they transform quantum potential into tangible profitability, defying expectations and weathering the storms that come their way? As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” We’ll be watching, waiting.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”